
Award-Winning Trading Systems since 1997
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eMINI DAY TRADING SCHEDULE
One of the most relevant and basic aspects of day trading is to define how to
use the trading equity of $5,000 that we recommend, and above all the Starting
Equity of $2,000 should be traded.
It is not that we will need to USE the full $5,000.00 but rather taking a slice
of $2,000.00 to start day trading, leaving the balance as a cash reserve.
If we consider that that the stop for day trading the ER2 is 1.50 points or
$150.00, it would take TWELVE consecutive losses (plus commission of about $5.00
per contract round turn) to wipe out the Initial Equity. That is very unlikely –
we would dare to say that it is an impossibility - to happen with the
disciplined trader, even when the market is not trending.
Some traders may wonder why not allocate just $2,000.00 only and then start
trading. The fact is that it is unlikely, although not impossible, that each day
trader will start hitting the right buttons from day one.
The majority of traders may start with initial daily losses and in spite of some
winning days they may bring net losses for the first couple of weeks. This will
not be caused by our system but rather because most traders will have some
residual habits from other eMini day trading systems that will take time to get
rid of. Someone said that “the diminutive chains of habit are generally too
small to be felt till they are too strong to be broken”. How true.
The psychological pressure that will result from initial losses will be very
hard to overcome and the eMini day trader may end up by committing mistakes that
may very well be avoided by having the cushion of $3,000 that we suggest.
Believe me, trading with an equity of less than $5,000.00 may sooner or later be
a mental burden that should be avoided at any cost.
The number of those “old habit losses” will decrease as the trader gets more
familiar with the fast trading signals provided by the new indicators. But
losses will still happen later on because the markets don’t evolve in a linear
and orderly fashion.
In chapter 1 of our latest (May 2007) eMini Day Trading system manual we attempt
to define the potential profits a trader may reasonably expect from day trading
the eMinis using certain levels of average daily profit. We start with the
premise of obtaining an average (and that is the operative word) profit
of $50.00, net of commissions and losses, per contract and per day.

We will make three comments on the theoretical, but mathematically correct,
objectives of the above spreadsheet.
The first is that the limit of 10 contracts per day that we defined is very
reasonable but hardly the limit for the average trader. If the trader can
increase gradually the number of daily contracts assuming the allocation of
$1,000 per contract until 10 contracts are reached at the end of three months,
then he or she would be able to exceed that theoretical limit.
The main reason is that by gradually building the confidence in the trading
signals, the trader will also be improving his or her own mindset and be able to
trade a larger number of contracts. Thus in the first four weeks only one
contract will be traded, in the following two weeks we will day trade two
contracts, two weeks later we can trade four, etc.
The other comment is that at the end of week 13, the excess equity is already
$6,500. That is cash that will not be used since for trading 10 contracts the
trader needs only $10,000, double the minimumset by the exchanges. So the
trader can use that excess in other trading like EOD the T-Bonds or the Grains
or in any application that he or she deems fit.
The third comment is that all of the above is based on the assumption that the
trader observes without reservation the two cardinal aspects of day trading
discipline that we analyze in the manual:
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trade signals only from full bars
-
never tinker with the maximum stop of 1.50 points for the ES or the TF
(slightly different stops are suggested in the manual fro day trading the NQ
or the YM5).
Every trader must define goals when trading. The spreadsheet displayed should
help in reaching those objectives. They will not evolve orderly since there will
be days with losses. But there will also profits larger, often much larger, than
the $50.00/day and contract that we estimated.
It is fitting to mention that in Chapter 7 of the manual, dedicated to Risk
Management and Profit Control, we describe how to trade in Survival Mode.
That is the safest way of controlling the losses when the chips are down because
it shows how to trade with the lowest probability of losses.
One may wonder why not using only that approach and the reason is very simple:
traders would not reach the profit potential that is identified by the Trading
Rule that we analyze in Chapter 2(?). The risk of losses will certainly increase
but the probability of more winning trades will end up by providing a larger net
potential profit.
©Copyright Luiz V. Alvim 1997-2010
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